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We might as well just wait for doom

Earlier, I expressed some optimism that were Boston to be faced with a Katrina- or Rita-like impending disaster, we could evacuate the city. After all, City Hall has A Plan (charmingly dubbed Exodus), and never mind that the state officials who would have to re-configure state highways to get us all out haven't even read it.

Recent events, however, make one wonder.

On Wednesday, a bunch of Newton firefighters standing in crosswalks in Newton Corner caused a 20-mile backup on the Mass. Pike. In an emergency, one might hope the firefighters would be at their stations, rather than in the middle of an intersection cursing out motorists, but what happens if, oh, a bus carrying evacuees crashes and burns at that same intersection?

And now look at Houston - a city surrounded by highways, where an evacuation from Hurricane Rita has itself become a potential disaster because the roads could not handle all the people trying to get out and now many of those people are stuck out in the open as a Category 4 hurricane heads toward them.

As with New Orleans, there are differences. Even the Hurricane of '38 was "only" a Category 3 storm. Although the immediate coastline is flat, the terrain gets pretty hilly relatively close to the shore (thanks, glaciers!). Still, Sharon wonders:

... Even with days of advance warning, it has still proven all but impossible to evacuate major metropolitan areas relying largely on private vehicles. After the crisis eases, this is something officials will have to think long and hard about. Do we try to come up with plans that will allow for reasonable evacuations, that somehow better augment the private automobile/SUV? Do we acknowledge that our current development patterns are dangerous, and work in the long term to make them safer? Or do we basically acknowledge that such widescale emergency evacuation needs are rare and thus accept this inability to get people out in a reasonable manner? ...

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Comments

In the event a 1938-style hurricane headed our way, we don't want or need to evacuate the entire metropolitan region.

What we do need is to evacuate landfilled and other near-sea-level areas into the nearby hills. Any emergency plan for Boston should concentrate on this.

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What about the new Bio-Lab they are building? Don't we want to get the hell out of Boston if that thing starts leaking Ebola? For example. I live about a mile from that site, and I ain't sticking around. (Assuming anyone tells the public that there is a problem.)

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I don't have a car. In the unlikely event of a region-wide evacuation, I guess I get on my bicycle and head for Lowell (about a 2.5 hour ride away).

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Why not just hop on the commuter train to Lowell?

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that works, provided that the trains are running and still have room to pick people up in West Medford. The bike has one advantage: it would continue to provide me with transportation once I reach wherever I've evacuated to.

Admittedly it's hard for me to visualize any weather catastrophe that would require me to do such a thing. An earthquake, on the other hand...

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What about commuter rail? There are a LOT of trains, no?

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1) I like to think we have the benefit of a very developed, very accesible public trans system... At the very least, people could move some miles out of the way without personal vehicles...

2) RE: BIO labs with contagions - When Rita was approaching a Houston hospital, they interviewed the staff there who were staying behind. The chief of staff stated that the contagious disease specimens they had been keeping in their lab for research had been preemptively destroyed that morning, according to their disaster procedure. I'd bet any area laboratory has comparable procedures.

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