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Election roundup: Poll puts Connolly, Walsh in the lead, but barely, with 40% undecided
By adamg on Tue, 07/16/2013 - 9:49pm
The Herald reports on the first round of polling by itself and Suffolk University.
One sage pundit quoted as wondering when Deval Patrick will start knocking some heads together to try to get at least one of the "progressive" minority candidates into the final.
David Bernstein notes the poll skews white, with 64% of respondents saying that's what they were.
Among those in the second tier: Dan Conley, whose campaign announced it will start running a series of TV spots, including this one on guns:
The ads probably won't be enough to convince Chris Faraone to vote for Conley; not after Faraone writes today about Conley's troubling record of clearing cops who kill minorities.
In his role as chairman of the City Council's Committee on Public Safety, Mike Ross convenes a hearing on gun violence in Boston, Wednesday at 5 p.m. Hibernian Hall, 182-186 Dudley St.
Good news for people who have been wondering where Rob Consalvo's been campaigning - his Web site now has a Google map that pinpoints every single campaign appearance he's made. What? No stop at Sullivan's at Castle Island yet?
One-time mayoral candidate Mel King joins a protest over the lack of affordable housing in Chinatown at noon, Wednesday at 300 Harrison Ave.
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Comments
Bernstein is correct, Suffolk
Bernstein is correct, Suffolk poll is flawed 64% white, 16% black, 11% Hispanic... and 75% homeowners?
A real snapshot of Boston, I would say.
O yea, less we forget Suffolk predicted that Steve Murphy would easily defeat Cabral for Sheriff....
40% undecided...not sure its a tight race at all...
Paleologos's poll backs up Bennett's Power Rankings of 7/1/13
The poll backs up my July 1, 2013 Power Rankings of the Mayoral Candidates so it's accurate:
With a +/- 4% margin of error, the poll shows anyone can win
The most important point in the poll is that there is a +/- 4% margin of error plus 40% are undecided. This poll demonstrates that any of the 12 candidates can win this race.
And yes, I agree with Bernstein, it's not reflective of the city's population.
who would thunked it. we may
who would thunked it. we may have an Irish Maya...
Tommy be pissed.
An Irishman would vote for an Italian, but an Italian would never vote for an irish, hhaha
Don't know nothing about polls
Well, what was the actual racial/ethnic breakdown of voters in recent races? Maybe Suffolk knows what it's doing?
But, I wonder about the whole, "Are you likely to vote in this fall's election?" That's like asking someone, "Do you floss every day?" Everyone is going to say yes or fear being criticized, even if it's just someone on the phone.
I don't know why they don't just pull the voter rolls and call people who have voted in 6, 7, or 8 of the most recent races. Those are who will turn out in the next election. And, plenty of those people have their phone numbers listed on the voter rolls, too.
It's all public information.
Or...
Ethnic breakdown of registered voters. Don't know which way it skews.
Per the US Census (via wikipedia), Boston overall is:
White 53.9%
Black or African American 24.4%
Native American 0.4%
Asian 8.9%
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander 0.0%
Two or more races 3.9%
Hispanic or Latino 17.5%
Non-Hispanic Whites 47.0%
That's not ethnicity
You are confusing race for ethnicity. They are 2 different things. The stats you have are from the US Census questionaire on race and Hispanic Origin. The US Census does *not* measure ethnicity. Lots of people misquote the census. What you will find is the Census Bureau has the American Community Survey, which is measured every year. It drills down into Ancestry (Italian, Irish, Jamaican Haitian). It's actually quite interesting, and I've done a lot of stat work with the ACS. Sorry to nitpick, but I actually find it quite offensive when people label my color or race as my ethnicity.
My take bad news for DA Dan.
My take bad news for DA Dan. The strangler couldn't help him. By my estimate 90% of the respondents don't like him?
I haven't picked a horse in this race
However, this is the second time in two days that I've heard about people not liking Dan Conley (the other comment was second hand from a public defender). Sounds like there are a lot of people out there with sour grapes against somebody who does a tough job well.
How about more specifics - why don't you like him (he has a strike against him in my book because he's another one who thinks he should tell me where I should shop. Could a position on what I should eat or drink be far behind?)
Why Hate Conley
A guy and his three buddies attacked folks walking down the street in the south end and got off with a fine and anger management class.
Conley let the criminal plead guilty without turning any his 3 friends. The perpetrator, Fabio Brandao, a Brazilian immagrant from Framingham, dropped his cellphone at the scene. The victim noted the the assailants' (Brandao's" car license number.
Conley is a lazy D.A. Conley doesn't mind that some people go gay-bashing in the South End for fun on a Saturday night in their new country.
http://www.boston.com/news/local/breaking_news/200...
Another Link
http://www.suffolkdistrictattorney.com/press-offic...
I remember this case. The DA wanted jail time. The judge gave him anger management. The DA doesn't "let the criminal plead guilty." The defendant can always plead guilty after shopping for a sympathetic judge, which he got.
DAs accept the plea deal
or he could have taken the case to trial. It was an open and shut case. He could have prosecuted him. (Too much work for Conley!)
Stevil, please elaborate--
"...he's another one who thinks he should tell me where I should shop."
Simple anonism
“I do not support Wal-Mart locating in the city of Boston and as mayor will oppose such a move,” Conley wrote.
Make the rules and enforce them uniformly. I don't care if you are Target, Kohls, WalMart or any other big box store. If you play by the rules you get to come in and the market can decide to shop in your store or not.