Chang-Diaz poll shows lead for, surprise, Chang-Diaz

By adamg on Mon, 08/18/2008 - 2:42pm

Blue Mass. Group posts numbers from a tracking poll conducted by the Sonia Chang-Diaz campaign in the Second Suffolk senate race. The campaign says 417 likely voters were questioned, but doesn't specify their geographic distribution in the district.

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Comments

Its such a diverse district

By ShadyMilkMan on Mon, 08/18/2008 - 3:14pm.

Its such a diverse district that I would be very warey of any poll that was conducted by one candidate without mentioning details about the poll besides the number of people polled.

Normally I wouldnt be a stickler for the exact numbers, but its possible the poll isnt 100 percent accurate due to extreme variances in voters feelings about the candidates across the cities/towns/neighberhoods

Still, It's going to be a race

By rossoduck on Mon, 08/18/2008 - 5:47pm.

I find it very interesting that the Boston Globe has all but said Wilkerson is going to win, even though that is not the vibe one receives throughout the district. The Globe ran a story a few weeks back that said something like "Wilkerson could very well win despite..."

Talk about handicapping the race before it's even begun!

The reality is many, many people are voting for Chang-Diaz.

Ross

P.S. I am biased... I am voting for Chang-Diaz and have written as such on my blog.

I'm voting for her

By pos7ed on Mon, 08/18/2008 - 11:09pm.

She showed up at my door, and sent a handwritten follow up post card. Oh, ya. And I would vote for almost anyone to get Dianne out of office.

Adam - when you log in, and enter tab to get to the password field, you are sent to the bottom of the page.

Polling methods

By adamg on Tue, 08/19/2008 - 8:50am.

Dan Cohen, who did the polling, e-mails:

The poll used a turnout model based on the geographic distribution of votes closer to the 2006 election than others...and this turnout model was used specifically because it shows slightly higher turnout where Senator Wilkerson had/has the strongest showing. The poll is for strategic purposes for us. We wouldn't want to see false positive results by skewing things in our favor, so we chose to err on the side of strong turnout in Senator Wilkerson's base.