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So is this 2015 Lite?
By adamg on Sat, 02/11/2017 - 2:43pm
It's beginning to feel a lot like 2015, only with not quite as much snow (yet): We haven't even gotten through the Sunday/Monday bombogenesis and already the National Weather Service is warning us we could get more snow Wednesday and Thursday. Or as the NWS sums up:
Snow lovers rejoice, this is your week. ... It is going to be an active weather pattern over the next week so buckle your seat belts. Shots of snow along with significant economic and social impact.
Plus, 65-m.p.h. wind gusts along the coast could mean power outages.
So you betcha the panicmongers in the French Toast Alert bunker have just gone to Orange/High.
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Comments
Sadly...
It's bombogenesis, baby!
Yes. It's beginning to look a lot like 2015 all over again. Yesterday, no winter storm watch for the coast, because the thought was rain would keep accumulations down.
This morning, the coast is now in the same winter storm watch as interior areas.
No one move a muscle as the plows come home
Bombogenesis needs to be added to the bingo card!
Bingo!
Bombogenesis should be the middle square.
Weather
RELAX, please. Stop providing fake news. Right now the storm on Monday looks explosive but too close to boston to give us another foot of snow as of right now. However, a blizzard will be likely for portions of NH, ME. Coastal damage is expected along much of the New England coastlines due to the damaging winds combined with astronomical high tides.
The mid-week storm is looking like more rain to be involved than snow. After that storm moves out, there will be a weather pattern change beginning on the upcoming long holiday week bringing us milder temperatures and a flow from south.
So looks like no pro-longed snow-blitz like 2015!
Not so fast
The problem is that we don't know enough to say this.
Every time I look, it is colder than predictions and the snow totals jump.
If we get hit Sunday-Monday and again later in the week we will be getting into Snowmageddon II territory.
As it is, it looks like Winter thinks it is finals week and is cranking out projects left and right.
"As it is, it looks like
"As it is, it looks like Winter thinks it is finals week and is cranking out projects left and right."
Winner.
In 2015, Boston had nearly 70
In 2015, Boston had nearly 70" of snow for the month of February. Right now the town has 12.9" for the month. As of this morning, the snow for mid-week looks light as the systems to the north and south are not expected to merge.
Sunday-Monday's storm is looking more like 6-9" in Boston, heaviest snow inland to the N&W. Then a weather pattern change follows beginning this upcoming weekend. (Still looking at the latest data)
So like I said, no snow-blitz unlike 2015.
Do you get this angry about other things?
Look at the headline of the original post. Note the word "Lite." I'm not saying this is OMG 2015 ALL OVER AGAIN, but I am saying that we're seeing the same pattern of multiple storms in a row in February (learned a new weather word yesterday: "trowaling"). No, we haven't seen as much snow as in 2015. That's where the "Lite" comes in. Lite. Lite. Lite. Lite.
Fake News?
The quote from the NWS says there could be "significant economic and social impact." If "significant economic and social impact" isn't news, WTF is?
Ignore the angry troll. "Fake
Ignore the angry troll. "Fake news", like "alternative facts", is just a new silly expression people have come up with to dismiss information they don't like or don't agree with.
Wait, there's alt-weather now?
Talk to Dave Epstein: Latest Euro model brings heavy snow into Boston (and yes, it's just one model, but Epstein knows his weather). Or talk to the National Weather Service.
More accurate.
Historically, the European computer weather model has been the most accurate.
This has long been a difficult storm to forecast
The energy is moving quickly, a lot of it is coming from Canada and is poorly sampled (they don't launch as many weather balloons up there) and it's not a typical storm track, with the energy coming from Ontario and not further west; a more zonal flow. There are also thermal issues: Boston could spend a lot of the storm at 33-34, or 31-32. There's a bit of a difference there.
If the trough digs slightly more or slightly less, and the center of the storm forms 50 miles east or west, could mean the difference between 2" and 2'. Maine is likely to get hit hard. We're more on the edge.
adam: alt weather
why not, we have alternative climates that depend on your voting interests
NWS is now out with a winter-storm warning
For all of eastern Massachusetts - predicting 6 to 12 inches of snow, high winds, general blecch.
blecch
Is that a meteorological term?
My Nana used to say "Oy! It's pelucchying out!" and to this day I don't know if that's a real Yiddish word or something she made up, but it sure is descriptive.
All over the map
The alert I just read said 12-16. Seems to be climbing.
Meaning
I'm checking out on the weather until tomorrow, with the hope the grocery store still has provisions tonight.
Put me down for $20
What's the over/under on school being closed Monday?
Unfortuately...
Under the current gaming law, we don't have the luxury of having betting shops, like William Hill (Nevada and UK) and Ladbrokes (UK) here.
If we did, I'm sure they'd be taking bets on that. :)
An important difference between now and 2015:
As I recall, the winter of 2015 got started way earlier than this winter did. Also, during the winter of 2015, since it constantly remained cold, the snow didn't get a chance to really melt at all, either. Moreover, our public transportation, which is/was in a shambles to begin with, was thrown into an even worse shambles. So far, the MBTA has held up pretty well this winter, but we'll see.
February is generally the biggest month for snow, anyhow.
Winter 2015 started late too
As I recall, the first significant snow of 2015 came on January 28. So, we're only a couple of weeks behind...
Two storms behind
2015 had major storms on January 24 (8" of snow), Top 10 storm on January 26-8, another 14 or so inches on February 3, another top 10 all time storm on February 7-10, and 16-20 more on February 15-6 (with 2-3" coatings each day in between)
So, yeah, this would be 2015 lite, but we could get hammered and socked in nonetheless.
Snow is cumulative
Trouble is, after 2015, our snow nerves are on high alert; we carry the baggage into this year when our nerves are already a bit frayed from other reasons.
nerves
Clearly, we all need therapy, and will for many many years. Hell, we're still not over the Blizzard of '78...