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We're in the Cone

Isaias cone

OK, OK, a lot can happen between now and Tuesday, but the latest Cone of Probability from the National Hurricane Center shows us right in the potential path of Isaias - they don't even have New York listed, and we are among those East Coast "interests" that need to monitor the progress of the storm. 2020, amirite?

OK, here's what the National Hurricane Center says:

There is a risk of impacts from winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surge this weekend along the Florida east coast and spreading northward along the remainder of the U.S. east coast through early next week. The details of the track and intensity forecast remain uncertain and it is too soon to determine the magnitude and location of these potential impacts, but interests along the entire U.S. east coast should monitor the progress of Isaias and updates to the forecast.

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Is this with or without the Sharpie?




The only state listed on the page linked is Florida, mainly because they are in the 1-3 day range. They need to get prepared. We need MEMA to pay attention to the forecasts over the next 2 to 3 days.

for an earthquake, right?

We are vastly more likely to get serious damage from a tropical storm than serious damage from an earthquake.

about the eternal coal-pit fire of apocalyptic garbage that is 2020.
by my estimation, we are due at least one of the following: earthquake, tsunami, tornado, and a volcanic event. Because there´s already a locust swarm in Argentina!

point, however, taken.

We’re definitely overdue for a major hurricane!


With all the food we're supposed to be keeping around in case we have to quarantine, will there still be a run on bread, eggs, and milk at the supermarket?


Ice, tequilla, and steak tips.


The French Toast Alert Team is reassembling now, just in case. We'll keep you toasted, of course.


And I had thought that maybe they had decided to tighten up their health safety restrictions again.

Ahem. (adjusts professional hat)

This is a really good time to review and renew the contents of your emergency kit. Or make one if you don't have one.

Instructions are here: https://www.mass.gov/info-details/build-an-emergency-kit

Also KNOW YOUR ZONE - you might be surprised at how far inland our hurricane surge evacuation zones go. Not to be too concerned with this for Isaias - but wrapping your head around it now puts you that much further ahead of the game come hell as high water.
If you are inland, these are the official flood zones, too - and they underestimate the risk.

https://memamaps.maps.arcgis.com/ (scroll through to find the flood zones and evac zones)

If not this storm, then another - notice that it isn't even August and we are already this far into the alphabet? Notice how storms are kicking north this year (like Faye). This is a historical pattern for fall frankenstorms (Hurr'easters) too.

2020 ain't done with us yet.



Can you re-post the second link please?

It's funny to see that Zone C goes right up to the north end of Jamaica Pond. I can't quite see the Muddy River in JP/Brookline become a flooding issue but hopefully we won't ever know.

Do you know where we can find another one?

This is the interface for all the MEMA maps, coming to you from Tha Bunkah!

Alternatively, go to the Climate Vulnerability Mapping Tool and select "flood zones" from the right hand menu: http://maps.massgis.state.ma.us/map_ol/cc_vuln.php

You will have to zoom in (+) to see the layers.

if we have a storm evacuation on top of the coronavirus. Where would people go?

I suppose next we'll have the Chinese seeds becoming Audrey IIs and triffids.

The Chinese seeds will just turn into everyday run of the mill Pottsylvania Creepers.

You don't know how many hours I have spent talking about this with other public health folks in about half the US states.

Everyone is working on it. Some states are even creating indoor tent villages for COVID positive evacuees.

There is no right answer. Same problem with cooling centers during heat waves. Can't just open the senior center and pack them in anymore.

covering this story. Seems they’ve been going out of their way to avoid saying the name of the storm, and those who have are making gaffes.

Perhaps the National Weather Service needs to add “Easy to remember how to pronounce” to their criteria for naming storms.

I have only read it, and it sounds like watching TV will not help me find the right pronunciation either.