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Wilkerson concedes recount, to run sticker campaign
By adamg on Sat, 09/27/2008 - 4:59pm
No word yet if she will continue her "Chang-Diaz is a white devil controlled by Cambridge honkies" strategy, however.
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Comments
Stomp my foot and snort
You provocateur...
Excellent recap of that post. I should get you to write my post heads.
Some predictions are too easy though. I also predicted that Wilkerson will lose her sticker bid huge, further damaging her brand. She can dig herself out as she has previously, but it'll be from a lot farther down.
Democrat?
She can't run as a Democrat, write in or no. The party gets to decide who gets on their ticket, and their primary selected Chang-Diaz.
Wilkerson can run as a write-in, but she can't affiliate. I wouldn't be surprised if there was an injunction to prevent her from using "Democrat" on her campaign materials.
A Few Questions
If Dianne Wilkerson wins her sticker campaign but she's not allowed to sticker as a Democrat, then where would that leave her as a Senator? Would she change her affiliation?
I'm confused by all this, and I wish she'd just drop it and take her loss like an adult.
Also, if she loses in November then when does Dianne Wilkerson have to clear out of the State House? By what date?
Easy and Tough
The easy one is when the General Court takes office. Our constitution reads, "The terms of senators and representatives shall begin with the first Wednesday in January succeeding their election and shall extend to the first Wednesday in January in the third year following their election and until their successors are chosen and qualified."
The harder part is how Wilkerson would fare in the extremely unlikely case she won a sticker/write-in race in November. (She won't.)
She claims that she's a Dem. Ryan Adams has the nits and grits here. Basically, the DP that she has agreed to follow says its primary produces a winner. Beep. Not you. Thanks for playing.
She can't run as a Dem and I bet the DP would sue her if she tried to produce stickers reading that she was. Sonia is the Dem primary winner and the nominee on the ballot. Moreover, the heavy hitting Dems, like the governor and senate prez will endorse Sonia.
Let's really stretch and pretend she won on 11/4. She would have to be totally ineffective. She's never been a coalition builder, although she did vote with the crowd on progressive issues when the momentum was large enough. In this case, no one would work with her or co-sponsor anything. I'm betting she'd also lose anything like a seat on any important committee. Finally, her forte has been tucking earmarks in big spending bills. I'd bet her addenda like that would not make the bills.
She could have left office instead with good will and sympathy, plus the gratitude for the good she had done. She could have re-geared for a different office. She's making that impossible.
I'm biased, but I can't help but wonder why people around her can't put her head on straight for her, override her ego, and ship her off to a meditation center for six months.
Long time state politicians
Long time state politicians with connections tend to make out quite well, she should take her loss, walk across the street and find some company to work for who would be willing to pay her low six figures for her connections. I know some people wont agree with me, but she could be worth 100,000 to someone if she manages to get herself out of this without a sticker campaign. Even a state level position could have been waiting for her that paid better then her state house salary.
The good news for Chang Diaz is that the offices are assigned by the leadership, so theres a high probability she will not have to walk into the same office Wilkerson just left, otherwise Im sure she would be walking into quite a mess after all this political fighting.
I have no idea what you're talking about
I don't even know what this conversation is about.
A person can identify himself or herself as a Democrat or Republican. Those of you who say it's not possible are just guessing, admit it.
If the question is, how does a person's name appear on the ballot, the answer can be found on the Secretary of State's site.
If she creates actual stickers, the stickers cannot say "Democrat". They also cannot say "Veteran" or "Vulcan" or identify her (or anyone) in any other way. It's a matter of description, not of affiliation or primary choice, or anything else.
The stickers can only state a person's name and her address.
Talk to the Dianne
Nose about Wilkerson's articles and releases. She has announced repeatedly that if she loses the Democratic Primary, and then if she loses the recount for the Democratic Primary, she's running as a Democrat and not an independent in November.
Wilkerson likes to make up her own rules and reality. This is another case. Don't assume she won't hand out non-compliant stickers.
The best case would be if she said, "Good fight, Sonia. You win." Then she'd have a shot at another office, or even this one later.
What she wants is not to have lost the primary and the recount. Ding. Ding. Anyone home?
To put it in a simple manner ...
The Democratic Party owns the label "Democrat".
Wilkerson can say that she is a registered Democrat, but she cannot advertise herself as "Democrat for State Senate" on her campaign materials. Only Chang-Diaz is entitled to do that. She is the Democratic Nominee for that seat. Wilkerson may be a registered Democrat, but she is absolutely NOT the Democratic Party candidate.
Put simply, The Democratic Party is a brand. Chang-Diaz has that rights to that brand. Wilkerson does not. If Wilkerson uses the Democratic Party brand name in her campaign, expect legal action from the party. The party gets to say who uses that designation, not Wilkerson.
If the Green Party agreed to let Wilkerson run as their nominee, she could then label her materials "Green Rainbow Candidate".
Thanks for the Information
Thanks, everyone, for answering the questions that I asked above.
This should be a very interesting race, for sure, and I'm looking forward to watching it unfold. I am of the opinion that Wilkerson should move on, now that she's lost the primary (twice!) but I doubt she will take it like a grown-up.
I'll be keeping an eye out on this blog for more information.
More Interest
Another key aspect, and bit of pathos, in this race is that it pits two progressives against each other. We saw that in the Dem Primary for U.S. Senate and several state rep races as well.
In one way, it's great that we have such choices. In many places friends live, they say they have a slate of right wingers against extreme right wingers.
On the other hand, I'd be happier if we nudged out some of the Democrats in Name Only (DINOs) and replaced them with legislators ready to advance progressive causes.
In Wilkerson's case, if voters were sure she could behave herself legally and financially, she could have remained for a long time. Instead, she has been mightily distracted for years. Hers is the only race like that this time.
By the bye, on paper, Chang-Diaz faces an on-ballot Socialist Worker candidate, William T. Leonard.
Write-in campaigns by primary losers are not unprecedented
In 1984, indicted Somerville state senator Vinny Piro beat challenger Sal Albano in the Democratic primary. Albano ran against Piro again in the general election with stickers, and won. A messy recount followed, but Albano prevailed. Here's a Harvard Crimson article about that election.
A community cable access TV show, the night before the election, may have played a crucial role.
No need to revisit 1984 even
Joe Lieberman (I-CT). Lost his party's primary in CT, but won the general election because he knew he'd carry the backing of enough Republicans to push him past the candidate that barely beat him in the primary and would not court the Republicans the same way that he could.
If Wilkerson can carry all of her primary voters and cater to 213 more people from those who weren't involved in the primary and limit Chang-Diaz to only her Democratic base, then she'll still win as an write-in on the ballot. This is why Wilkerson feels she has a good shot. There will easily be more than 200 extra people at the election day polls who weren't voting in the primaries because it's a presidential election year. All she has to do is remind them of how they voted for her the last time (when she ran by sticker because she was too late to submit her name for the ballot).
It's highly possible she'll get herself reelected if Chang-Diaz can't make more of Wilkerson's past transgressions and loss in the primary.
Not quite comparable
because Lieberman was on the November ballot, not a write-in.
stretching things mightily
. Moreover, the heavy hitting Dems, like the governor and senate prez will endorse Sonia.
I think it is extremely unlikely that Patrick will endorse the opponent of the ONLY candidate he recorded messages for. He probably did it as a favor to the party, and given how many strings have been pulled for Wilkerson over the years, the party is probably pissed that Wilkerson lost. Chang-Diaz is going to be the really unpopular kid in class, I think.
The Governor Has Already Said He Will Support Sonia
Hey Brett- Thanks.
Governor Patrick has already said he will support Sonia. Sonia has said she will receive endorsements from numerous Democrats as soon as she is certified as the winner of the primary.
By contrast, most Democrats I have spoken to are concerned by Wilkerson's tone at her event this past Tuesday. To claim that Sonia is not a person of color (she's Latina and speaks fluent Spanish), and to claim that Sonia bought her victory (Wilkerson spent more; Sonia's campaign made their own buttons) is so ridiculous it's actually kind of scary.
I don't understand why Wilkerson is doing this. It's only a two-year term. She could run again in two years, spending the period in between ralling her people and puttinig in place a solid organization.
I agree to a point. I dont
I agree to a point. I dont see Patrick and company coming out in full support of Sonia. Rather I see them just sitting off to the side and not saying anything. Its possible some of them will "endorse" Chang Diaz but will in reality just say that in public then walk away and work on something else. Patrick saw his fair share of lame endorsements from conservative democrats during his bid for the governorship so Im sure he knows how that works by now.
Up until that ad came out those democratic legislators never really came out heavy for Patrick, and even after the ad they were mum. They were pissed that Reilly wasnt picked.
http://www.boston.com/news/local/politics/candidat...
Diane will win
The general election will have a huge turn-out. As long as Diane organizes and covers the polls with workers who have stickers, she will win.
It's a lot easier to wage a sticker campaign with the paper ballots than it was with the old lever machines.
Chang-Diaz is a boutique candidate for the gentrifiers. Diane is more in tune with the bulk of the district.
When Diane wins, she will caucus with the Democrats, same as Lieberman did and same as Joe Moakley did when he beat Louise Day Hicks as an independent. That is not an issue.
Lieberman Comparison is Not Valid
Joe Lieberman got his name on the ballot in 2006 in Connecticut. The rules in Conn. are a bit different, and Lieberman was able to file papers and signatures to actually get his name on the ballot.
Lieberman's race was NOT a write-in or sticker campaign, as his name was one of the choices ON the ballot.
Looking at Chang-Diaz's victory, the heavy advantage for Sen. Wilkerson in her home districts was matched by Sonia' Chang-Diaz's advantage not only in her home wards of Jamaica Plain, but also in downtown. Turnout will be high everywhere on election day.
Her district will lose
She may think that she will be treated as any other "Democrat", but she will not be. She has chosen to be a pariah, and will not be welcomed with open arms or much respect or cooperation. She will get nothing done.
The party will treat her as the poor sport that she is, and will assign her her office and her committee appointments accordingly. She will be totally ineffective because this is Massachusetts where loyalty is valued more than experience, expertise, and good sense much of the time.
The thing with Lieberman is
The thing with Lieberman is he was needed by the democrats, they couldnt/cant afford to alienate him so they continued to give him the benefit of being in the club. I have friends who work down in DC, one who even worked for Lieberman for a while, who all say that while it looked like roses and sunshine on the surface there was alot of tension between Lieberman and the Democrats, with many Democrats wishing they could get close to 60 votes at the end of this cycle simply so they could toss Lieberman off of the train.
If we were a state with a vibrant Republican party I would agree with you and say that Wilkerson would be accepted into the fold once again simply so the Democrats could keep their numbers. The problem for Wilkerson is that there is no party that comes even close to overpowering the Dems inside the state house (excluding the governors office) and the Dems hold insurmountable majorities over the Republicans. Wilkerson is not needed by the Democrats and in fact can be seen as a threat to the status quo. If Wilkerson is allowed to be a free agent hanging out with the Democrats whats stopping other people from running as independants in the future, winning, and joining the Democratic caucus at the end? These new politicians would have the benefits of hanging out with the holders of the money, while not being held accountable to the party for their actions. While I do not see that as being a bad thing per say (Ive always liked the parliment system with multiple parties that form a government by compromise) the Democrat party will see it as a threat and will try to squash it any way they can.
Such a good headline you missed
Wilkerson to voters: Stick it!
Chang-Diaz: I am too of color
Calls Wilkerson backers dishonest in claiming she's not just as much of a minority as they are.
viva la raza
I think it's good that a Hispanic takes a Senate seat away from the Anglos. It's about time we had a Hispanic up there. Hispanics are the largest minority group in the US and in Massachusetts, so it's good that we get a more representative Mass. Senate this way.
Two more views on the race
ChezNiki urges Wilkerson to give up, already:
Chris Farone recounts the mood at City Hall during the recount on Saturday:
Im biased...
...for more reasons than we have time for on this website. Im embarrassed, and I dont even live in Second Suffolk. However, I hope that the people who do live and vote in Second Suffolk can shake off the tradition, loyalty and fear and move on to a new era with someone who is willing to follow the rules and try to help their constituents. I know that the incumbent always wins in Boston (sometimes even when they're dead), but how many favors are you gonna pull in? At this point, how many do you have left? Close your pocketbook and walk out with some dignity.