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Election roundup: Wu vs. whoever comes in second; two debates this week
By adamg on Tue, 09/07/2021 - 9:01am
The Globe reports a poll it did with Suffolk University has Michelle Wu coming in first in the preliminary, with Janey, Essaibi George and Campbell bunched up for second and Barros watching them from way, way back on the track.
This comes a few days after another poll showed similar results.
If you haven't already early voted, you'll get a couple more chances to hear from the candidates themselves.
On Wednesday, the Dorchester Reporter, the Bay State Banner, NBC Boston and Telemundo Boston host what they're calling an actual debate (after 60+ "forums"). Starts at 7 p.m. NBC Boston assures us the debate will be held in a "secure and closed studio" at NBC Boston/Telemundo's Needham studios.
On Thursday, the candidates come back into Boston for a debate at WBUR, sponsored by that station, WCVB, the Globe and UMass Boston’s McCormack Graduate School of Policy and Global Studies. Also starts at 7.
The Greater Boston Building Trades Unions chose Labor Day to endorse Bridget Nee-Walsh, herself a construction worker, for one of the four at-large City Council seats.
As a union member and as part of Ironworkers Local 7’s Executive Board, Bridget Nee-Walsh has advocated for family-sustaining jobs and life-changing career pathways that lift up workers and that move Boston forward. We are proud to have endorsed Bridget for City Council At Large.
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Comments
I wish we had ranked-choice voting for primaries
I am considering voting for my current second choice candidate (AC) since my current #1 is apparently assured of a spot on the Nov ballot. But what if the polling is off, and MW's lead is not that wide? If we had ranked-choice that would not have to be a concern.
If the city had ranked-choice
If the city had ranked-choice voting, you wouldn't even need a primary.
We could have had ranked choice voting
We could have had ranked choice voting; it was on the last ballot, but the voters shot it down. There were various explanations as to why; one of them was, approximately , “people suck and are stupid”
This isn't a primary.
This isn't a primary.
Don't trust the polls
I think Wu is probably #1 or #2 but I wouldn't put too much faith in the polling. A low turnout election is already a hard thing to poll and it's getting harder and harder to accurately get numbers.
What's clear is that it's likely going to be a close race. There's no combination of woman making it Nov 2nd which would be surprising.
Debates...better late than never?
Early voting started days ago. I just voted today. If I have early voting, it's so I can do it when it's convenient to my schedule.
Any debates need to be scheduled BEFORE early voting opens. What if someone in the debate says something that convinces me I should have changed my vote (either for someone I didn't vote for or against someone I did)?
There have been forums
And once in a while the Acting Mayor even shows up at them.
I would imagine after these polls she will be on stage tonight.
Kaz, next thing you'll be
Kaz, next thing you'll be wanting is for mainstream media outlets to actually cover all of the candidates, and include them in forums - before voting starts!
That’s the gamble…
There’s a lot of math around option pricing theory, but a core idea is that information is valuable, and, specifically in the case of voting, the longer you wait before casting your ballot (up to the deadline,) the more information you will have at the moment you cast your vote. So the question becomes, is the convenience value to me in voting early greater than or less than the information value of waiting until 5 minutes before the polls close.
Therein lies the rub...
Elections shouldn't be gambles.
Big business loves GND,
Big business loves GND, Boston edition.
What if….
What if there is a tie for second place, or the difference between second and third is a handful of votes? Would the top 3 be on the ballot, instead of 2?
Even if the difference is one vote
Second place gets the second spot. If there's a tie, apparently the City would have to hold a special election to resolve the tie.
That said, the legal challenges and recounts might stretch all the way to the election in November, if not beyond.